NextEra Energy acquisition·closes in 16mo

Will NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy Inc. succeed before 2028?

YES means Yes

24h volume
0
9,814 lifetime
Open interest
2,449
+1,372 over 30d
Spread
10 × 507 at the touch
24h range
66¢ – 99¢
43 recent trades
Chance of YES
89%

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
11%

costs 13¢

YES bid / ask
87¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
/ 13¢
24h low 66¢24h high 99¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3099¢
  • ask50792¢
spreadmid 90¢
  • bid1087¢
  • bid1185¢
  • bid50084¢
  • bid3,761
  • bid141
  • bid3,469
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If qualifying public announcements indicate NextEra Energy, Inc.'s takeover of Dominion Energy, Inc. has succeeded Before 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest ( 50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes. The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.

opened
May 19 · 12:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 2, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTAKEOVERNEE-28JAN01
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will NextEra Energy successfully take over Dominion Energy?.

Recent trades

Over the last 43 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago89¢1.56bought no
2d ago89¢5bought no
2d ago88¢1.57bought no
4d ago93¢0.01bought yes
4d ago93¢0.77bought yes
4d ago93¢0.01bought yes
4d ago93¢0.77bought yes
5d ago92¢5bought yes
5d ago92¢3bought yes
5d ago93¢7.57bought yes
6d ago99¢16bought yes
6d ago98¢150bought yes
6d ago82¢500bought yes
6d ago98¢634bought yes
7d ago75¢0.25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.