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Hourly Directional Chicago Metro Temperature·closed · NO

Will the temp in Chicago Metro Area be above 63.99° on Sep 20, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

YES means 64° or above

24h volume
1,446
1,446 lifetime
Open interest
755
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
–
38 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
Recent buying35% YES · 65% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at Chicago Metro Area for Sep 20, 2026 at 6 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 63.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
63.99
ticker
KXTEMPCHIHS-26SEP2018-T63.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 38 trades, 35% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago2¢46bought no
6h ago2¢1bought no
6h ago16¢3.54bought yes
6h ago17¢19bought yes
6h ago6¢200bought yes
6h ago17¢16bought yes
6h ago7¢1bought yes
6h ago6¢12bought yes
6h ago5¢3bought no
6h ago4¢1bought no
6h ago6¢8.95bought no
6h ago3¢1bought no
6h ago3¢15bought no
6h ago6¢1.05bought no
6h ago8¢2bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.