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Hourly Directional NYC Temperature·closed · YES

Will the temp in New York City be above 67.99° on Sep 20, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

YES means 68° or above

24h volume
2,252
2,252 lifetime
Open interest
1,320
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
11¢ – 90¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
90%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
10%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
NO bid / ask
0¢ / 100¢
24h low 11¢24h high 90¢
Recent buying88% YES · 12% NO

This market is closed and resolved YES. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 20, 2026 at 6 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 67.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
67.99
ticker
KXTEMPNYCHS-26SEP2018-T67.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 88% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago90¢12bought yes
9h ago78¢0.43bought no
9h ago89¢13bought yes
9h ago89¢1.11bought yes
9h ago85¢5.82bought yes
9h ago85¢19bought yes
9h ago85¢5.82bought yes
9h ago72¢34bought no
9h ago69¢0.89bought no
9h ago72¢50bought no
9h ago75¢6.29bought yes
9h ago78¢25bought yes
9h ago88¢15bought yes
9h ago83¢10bought yes
9h ago87¢10bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.