Hourly Directional NYC Temperature·closed · NO

Will the temp in New York City be above 68.99° on Sep 20, 2026 at 6pm EDT?

YES means 69° or above

24h volume
584
584 lifetime
Open interest
565
+0 over 30d
Spread
100¢
0 × 0 at the touch
24h range
1¢ – 13¢
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 100¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
/ 100¢
NO bid / ask
/ 100¢
24h low 24h high 13¢
Recent buying97% YES · 3% NO

This market is closed and resolved NO. Prices shown are the last ones traded.

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 20, 10:00 PMSep 20, 11:00 PM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Empty book.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the temperature recorded at New York City for Sep 20, 2026 at 6 PM EDT as reported by Synoptic Data, is above 68.99°, then the market resolves to Yes.

The official final value for this market is determined strictly by the temperature reported by Synoptic Data, calculated in accordance with the Kalshi Weather Index Methodology. Alternative sources—such as NWS Climatological Reports or Google Weather—may serve as references, but are not authoritative and will not be used for market resolution.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 20 · 9:00 PM UTC
closes
Sep 20 · 10:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Sep 20 · 10:05 PM UTC
floor
68.99
ticker
KXTEMPNYCHS-26SEP2018-T68.99
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 97% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago56bought yes
9h ago2bought no
9h ago12bought yes
9h ago11¢40bought yes
9h ago1bought yes
9h ago13¢3.71bought yes
9h ago200bought yes
9h ago1bought yes
9h ago1bought no
9h ago156bought yes
10h ago94bought yes
10h ago17bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.