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Term Limits amendment·closes in 28mo

Will a constitutional amendment requiring term limits for Congress happen during Trump's term?

YES means Before 2029

24h volume
0
8,438 lifetime
Open interest
3,641
Spread
6¢
19 × 190 at the touch
24h range
–
13 recent trades
Chance of YES
7%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
93%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 99¢
Recent buying93% YES · 7% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask11914¢
  • ask2012¢
  • ask1510¢
  • ask509¢
  • ask2009¢
  • ask157¢
  • ask257¢
  • ask1907¢
spread6¢mid 4¢
  • bid191¢
  • bid7111¢
  • bid2,0271¢
  • bid1,0000¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a constitutional amendment is added to the U.S. Constitution has been ratified before Jan 20, 2029 that requires term limits for at least some members of Congress, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 29, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTERMLIMITS-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump impose term limits on Congress?.

Recent trades

Over the last 13 trades, 93% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1mo ago7¢8.15bought yes
1mo ago2¢8.15bought no
1mo ago5¢1bought yes
1mo ago5¢1bought yes
1mo ago5¢1bought yes
1mo ago3¢3bought no
2mo ago5¢1bought yes
2mo ago5¢1bought yes
2mo ago7¢75bought yes
2mo ago7¢28bought yes
2mo ago7¢5.11bought yes
2mo ago7¢15bought yes
2mo ago5¢6bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.