Time Person of the Year 2020s·closes in 41mo

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

YES means Elon Musk

24h volume
0
20.8k lifetime
Open interest
5,209
+39 over 7d
Spread
10 × 574 at the touch
24h range
31¢ – 37¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
37%

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
63%

costs 68¢

YES bid / ask
32¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 68¢
24h low 31¢24h high 37¢
Recent buying48% YES · 52% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢30¢35¢40¢volSep 15Sep 19

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Elon Musk is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Time doesn't announce a Person of the Decade before Jan 31, 2030, all markets resolve to No. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.

opened
May 30, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-EMUS
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 48% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago37¢13bought yes
2d ago37¢13bought yes
2d ago37¢8.05bought yes
2d ago36¢5bought yes
5d ago31¢2.6bought no
8d ago35¢14bought yes
8d ago35¢2.37bought yes
10d ago32¢2bought no
10d ago31¢3bought no
11d ago31¢12bought no
11d ago31¢1.41bought no
15d ago31¢28bought no
15d ago31¢2bought no
15d ago31¢7.6bought no
15d ago31¢14bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.