Time Person of the Year 2020s·closes in 41mo

Who will Time name as Person of the Decade?

YES means Xi Jinping

24h volume
0
3,168 lifetime
Open interest
765
+0 over 24h
Spread
60 × 200 at the touch
24h range
12 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 12¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 93¢

YES bid / ask
/ 12¢
NO bid / ask
88¢ / 93¢
Recent buying60% YES · 40% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3.9280¢
  • ask3753¢
  • ask35027¢
  • ask35021¢
  • ask520¢
  • ask30015¢
  • ask25014¢
  • ask20012¢
spreadmid 10¢
  • bid60
  • bid250
  • bid305
  • bid250
  • bid18
  • bid200
  • bid1,466
  • bid46
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Xi Jinping is Time's Person of the Decade for the 2020s, then the market resolves to Yes.

If Time doesn't announce a Person of the Decade before Jan 31, 2030, all markets resolve to No. This market and these products have not been endorsed by TIME. Any references to TIME, or any associated marks are descriptive only and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between TIME and Kalshi.

opened
May 30, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTIMEDECADE20S-30-XJIN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 12 trades, 60% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago12¢3.92bought yes
7d ago48bought no
19d ago5bought no
1mo ago14¢3bought yes
1mo ago13¢6bought yes
1mo ago4bought no
1mo ago5bought no
2mo ago5.4bought no
2mo ago12¢5bought yes
2mo ago13¢32bought yes
2mo ago13¢1.52bought yes
2mo ago50bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.