Who will launch a token this year? ·closes in 3mo

Will Abstract launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

YES means Abstract

24h volume
0
5,601 lifetime
Open interest
2,390
Spread
5 × 2.78 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
20%

A YES contract costs 24¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
80%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 24¢
NO bid / ask
76¢ / 82¢
Recent buying52% YES · 48% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Abstract launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.

opened
Jan 3 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31 · 6:59 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2027 · 5:00 AM UTC
ticker
KXTOKENLAUNCH-27JAN01-ABST
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 52% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago20¢1.54bought no
1d ago43¢6.46bought yes
1d ago42¢4.81bought yes
3d ago21¢8bought no
3d ago24¢3.95bought yes
3d ago20¢1.24bought no
3d ago26¢1.24bought yes
3d ago21¢1.24bought no
3d ago26¢0.92bought yes
4d ago19¢4.08bought no
5d ago23¢4.08bought yes
5d ago20¢10bought no
5d ago19¢7.61bought no
6d ago19¢1.21bought no
6d ago23¢5bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.