galdor.xyz
Admin
How low will Trump's approval get this year?·closes in 2mo

Will Donald Trump's approval rating on approval rating be below 33% during Dec 2025 to Dec 2026 according to VoteHub?

YES means Below 33%

24h volume
3,385
78.9k lifetime
Open interest
35.0k
Spread
2¢
2 × 4.84 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
15%+2

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
85%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 87¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5022¢
  • ask33321¢
  • ask4.0520¢
  • ask50019¢
  • ask7118¢
  • ask5017¢
  • ask1,00116¢
  • ask4.8415¢
spread2¢mid 14¢
  • bid213¢
  • bid15312¢
  • bid1,04611¢
  • bid899¢
  • bid809¢
  • bid1798¢
  • bid208¢
  • bid1238¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Donald Trump's approval rating during Dec 11, 2025 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by VoteHub is below 33%, then the market resolves to Yes.

In order to fulfill the Payout Criterion, the threshold need only be met once during the period.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 11, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 7, 2027 · 12:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 7, 2027 · 12:00 PM UTC
cap
33
ticker
KXTRUMPAPPROVALBELOW-26DEC31-33
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.