KXTRUMPENDORSE28·closes in 18mo

Will Donald Trump endorse Himself in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028?

YES means Himself

24h volume
29
4,188 lifetime
Open interest
2,357
Spread
107 × 170 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
92¢ / 94¢
Recent buying65% YES · 35% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10267¢
  • ask7266¢
  • ask4343¢
  • ask1.3441¢
  • ask15736¢
  • ask1224¢
  • ask62313¢
  • ask170
spreadmid
  • bid107
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Donald Trump publicly endorses himself in the 2028 presidential election before Mar 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

An "endorsement" requires: A clear, affirmative statement of support for candidate's election The statement must be public (not private communications) The endorsement must specifically reference the 2028 presidential election or be clearly in context of the 2028 presidential election The endorsement must come directly from Donald Trump or through official channels The following scenarios would resolve to YES: Donald Trump states "I endorse candidate for [office]" Donald Trump states "I support candidate" with clear reference to the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump states "I'm voting for candidate" publicly Donald Trump states "candidate has my full support" for the 2028 presidential election Donald Trump appears at campaign events specifically to endorse Donald Trump releases official endorsement through their organization Donald Trump allows their name/image to be used in candidate's campaign materials Statements of obvious sarcasm (or which are immediately followed by clarifications that Donald Trump is joking) are NOT encompassed by the Payout Criterion. The Contract shall resolve immediately upon confirmation of the first qualifying endorsement in the specified race. If multiple candidates are listed for a listed race and exactly one is endorsed, that candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all other named-candidate strikes resolve "No." If multiple are endorsed, each endorsed candidate's strike resolves "Yes" at a value of ($1.00 / N) rounded down to the nearest $0.01. If no endorsement occurs before expiration, the "No one" strike resolves "Yes" at $1.00 and all named-candidate strikes resolve "No."

opened
Jul 27 · 5:30 PM UTC
closes
Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Mar 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTRUMPENDORSE28-28MAR01-DJT
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 65% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3h ago3.31bought yes
3h ago8.43bought yes
6h ago12bought yes
9h ago5.22bought no
2d ago2.02bought yes
2d ago57bought yes
3d ago142bought no
3d ago200bought no
3d ago76bought yes
3d ago180bought yes
3d ago86bought yes
3d ago21bought yes
5d ago52bought yes
8d ago17bought no
9d ago67bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.