Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?
YES means Donald Trump Jr.
- 24h volume
- 1,331
- 20.2k lifetime
- Open interest
- 13.6k
- +1,216 over 7d
- Spread
- 14¢
- 14 × 24 at the touch
- 24h range
- 57¢ – 75¢
- 50 recent trades
A YES contract costs 73¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 41¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask36585¢
- ask10084¢
- ask7083¢
- ask382¢
- ask3378¢
- ask1775¢
- ask1574¢
- ask2473¢
- bid1459¢
- bid6858¢
- bid17857¢
- bid11756¢
- bid2555¢
- bid5.8249¢
- bid6.726¢
- bid6.725¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Donald Trump Jr. has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.
- opened
- Nov 18, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXTRUMPPARDONS-29JAN21-DJTR
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 50 trades, 39% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1h ago | 58¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 60¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 61¢ | 5 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 58¢ | 3 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 60¢ | 15 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 60¢ | 0.01 | bought no |
| 4h ago | 57¢ | 30 | bought no |
| 6h ago | 75¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 6h ago | 75¢ | 3.72 | bought yes |
| 6h ago | 71¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 6h ago | 72¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 6h ago | 74¢ | 2 | bought yes |
| 20h ago | 74¢ | 30 | bought yes |
| 20h ago | 65¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 20h ago | 71¢ | 15 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.