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Trump family nominee in 2028·closes in 26mo

Will a Trump family member the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?

YES means Before 2028

24h volume
31
38.0k lifetime
Open interest
14.6k
+3,902 over 90d
Spread
1¢
269 × 3 at the touch
24h range
8¢ – 9¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
8%−2

A YES contract costs 9¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
92%

costs 92¢

YES bid / ask
8¢ / 9¢
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 92¢
24h low 8¢24h high 9¢
Recent buying87% YES · 13% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask35014¢
  • ask7513¢
  • ask4012¢
  • ask111¢
  • ask110¢
  • ask4109¢
  • ask2009¢
  • ask39¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid2698¢
  • bid1007¢
  • bid2006¢
  • bid1315¢
  • bid1,5004¢
  • bid5004¢
  • bid102¢
  • bid522¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a member of the Donald J. Trump family (including him personally) is nominated as the 2028 Republican presidential candidate, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Feb 26, 2025 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Nov 7, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTRUMPPRES-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will a Trump family member be the 2028 Republican presidential nominee?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 87% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2h ago8¢3bought no
2h ago8¢27bought no
3h ago9¢1bought yes
6d ago9¢100bought yes
7d ago9¢10bought yes
10d ago9¢3.64bought yes
10d ago9¢97bought yes
12d ago7¢11bought no
17d ago7¢3.34bought no
17d ago8¢12bought yes
20d ago8¢6.57bought yes
20d ago8¢100bought yes
21d ago7¢95bought no
21d ago7¢12bought no
21d ago9¢2.52bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.