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Trump resign·closes in 28mo

Will President Trump resign before his term is up?

YES means Before his term ends

24h volume
3,525
428.2k lifetime
Open interest
146.1k
+11.9k over 7d
Spread
1¢
20 × 2,507 at the touch
24h range
20¢ – 26¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
21%−2

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
79%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 22¢
NO bid / ask
78¢ / 79¢
24h low 20¢24h high 26¢
Recent buying14% YES · 86% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢25¢30¢volSep 14Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,32429¢
  • ask1,50028¢
  • ask28527¢
  • ask16426¢
  • ask50025¢
  • ask0.0424¢
  • ask28623¢
  • ask2,50722¢
spread1¢mid 21¢
  • bid2021¢
  • bid27520¢
  • bid2,82319¢
  • bid20118¢
  • bid20017¢
  • bid10016¢
  • bid89015¢
  • bid6314¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the President of the United States elected for the 2025-2029 term resigns the office, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Nov 9, 2024 · 7:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 21, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTRUMPRESIGN
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump resign during his term?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 14% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
35m ago21¢6.23bought no
43m ago21¢18bought yes
43m ago22¢111bought yes
2h ago24¢1.49bought no
2h ago21¢150bought no
2h ago23¢0.01bought no
2h ago25¢1.28bought no
2h ago24¢3.03bought no
2h ago25¢1.27bought no
2h ago24¢12bought no
2h ago23¢12bought no
2h ago24¢1bought no
2h ago23¢88bought no
2h ago24¢35bought no
2h ago24¢6bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.