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Trump on SNL·closes in 28mo

Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?

YES means Before 2029

24h volume
138
23.7k lifetime
Open interest
7,626
+22 over 24h
Spread
4¢
246 × 63 at the touch
24h range
13¢ – 18¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
13%

A YES contract costs 17¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
87%

costs 87¢

YES bid / ask
13¢ / 17¢
NO bid / ask
83¢ / 87¢
24h low 13¢24h high 18¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢15¢20¢volSep 20, 5:42 AMSep 21, 4:20 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If President Trump does a new appearance on SNL before January 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jan 29, 2025 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTRUMPSNL-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Trump go on SNL during his second term?.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5h ago14¢5bought no
5h ago14¢23bought no
5h ago14¢5bought no
5h ago13¢0.12bought no
5h ago13¢6.29bought no
5h ago13¢18bought no
9h ago18¢1bought yes
9h ago18¢1.15bought yes
13h ago15¢1bought no
15h ago18¢9.49bought yes
15h ago17¢0.51bought yes
15h ago17¢22bought yes
15h ago17¢1bought yes
22h ago16¢12bought yes
22h ago17¢4.49bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.