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Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.55 million total deliveries in 2026?

YES means Above 1.55 million

24h volume
0
6,010 lifetime
Open interest
730
−1,158 over 90d
Spread
3¢
18 × 100 at the touch
24h range
–
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 4¢

YES bid / ask
96¢ / 99¢
NO bid / ask
1¢ / 4¢
Recent buying99% YES · 1% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
80¢90¢100¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
spread3¢mid 98¢
  • bid1896¢
  • bid3995¢
  • bid594¢
  • bid20092¢
  • bid1974¢
  • bid4965¢
  • bid31564¢
  • bid94354¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1550000.0 total deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
1550000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1550000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 99% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9d ago99¢37bought yes
9d ago98¢100bought yes
26d ago95¢0.3bought no
28d ago98¢0.3bought yes
29d ago98¢100bought yes
1mo ago96¢1bought no
1mo ago95¢0.01bought no
2mo ago98¢1.01bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.