Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.7 million total deliveries in 2026?

YES means Above 1.7 million

24h volume
0
9,070 lifetime
Open interest
691
−141 over 30d
Spread
205 × 2.91 at the touch
24h range
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
85%

A YES contract costs 83¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
15%

costs 24¢

YES bid / ask
76¢ / 83¢
NO bid / ask
17¢ / 24¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask61098¢
  • ask20097¢
  • ask5396¢
  • ask2.3294¢
  • ask1990¢
  • ask289¢
  • ask20086¢
  • ask2.9183¢
spreadmid 80¢
  • bid20576¢
  • bid170¢
  • bid1069¢
  • bid24540¢
  • bid1539¢
  • bid1,20737¢
  • bid25214¢
  • bid39013¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1700000.0 total deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
1700000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1700000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago85¢2.32bought yes
5d ago77¢0.27bought no
7d ago72¢1bought no
7d ago71¢0.23bought no
9d ago71¢5bought no
9d ago70¢147bought no
9d ago73¢5bought no
9d ago73¢6.09bought no
9d ago81¢6.09bought yes
10d ago81¢2bought yes
10d ago79¢5bought yes
11d ago80¢1.23bought yes
11d ago80¢7.79bought yes
11d ago80¢4.53bought yes
12d ago70¢0.45bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.