Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.8 million total deliveries in 2026?
YES means Above 1.8 million
- 24h volume
- 0
- 3,121 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,627
- +200 over 7d
- Spread
- 4¢
- 23 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 45 recent trades
A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 61¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask5099¢
- ask33392¢
- ask28578¢
- ask19977¢
- ask20043¢
- bid2339¢
- bid20738¢
- bid20033¢
- bid1125¢
- bid5717¢
- bid23915¢
- bid2349¢
- bid2518¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1800000.0 total deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- opened
- Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
- closes
- Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
- floor
- 1800000
- ticker
- KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1800000.0
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Recent trades
Over the last 45 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5d ago | 43¢ | 2.13 | bought yes |
| 5d ago | 43¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 40¢ | 2.13 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 38¢ | 35 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 47¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 45¢ | 2.13 | bought yes |
| 10d ago | 46¢ | 21 | bought yes |
| 17d ago | 43¢ | 125 | bought yes |
| 23d ago | 42¢ | 1.57 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 41¢ | 0.23 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 38¢ | 1.57 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 38¢ | 5.31 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 38¢ | 3.14 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 38¢ | 7.85 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 40¢ | 120 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.