Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.9 million total deliveries in 2026?

YES means Above 1.9 million

24h volume
0
9,393 lifetime
Open interest
1,832
+0 over 24h
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 19¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask
14¢ / 19¢
NO bid / ask
81¢ / 86¢
Recent buying70% YES · 30% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢10¢20¢volSep 20, 9:23 AMSep 21, 4:24 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask566¢
  • ask53465¢
  • ask7164¢
  • ask1963¢
  • ask1122¢
  • ask10021¢
  • ask1020¢
  • ask20019¢
spreadmid 16¢
  • bid514¢
  • bid200
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1900000.0 total deliveries in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
1900000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANDEL-1900000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 70% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago11¢56bought no
8d ago16¢5bought no
8d ago12¢23bought no
9d ago20¢200bought no
9d ago23¢5bought no
11d ago29¢0.03bought yes
11d ago26¢49bought yes
11d ago28¢71bought yes
12d ago26¢51bought yes
17d ago20¢200bought yes
17d ago19¢100bought yes
1mo ago19¢23bought yes
1mo ago19¢200bought yes
1mo ago11¢25bought no
1mo ago20¢25bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.