Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla, Inc. report above 140000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026?

YES means Above 140000

24h volume
0
3,511 lifetime
Open interest
725
+413 over 90d
Spread
10¢
200 × 200 at the touch
24h range
10¢ – 57¢
8 recent trades
Chance of YES
38%

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
62%

costs 62¢

YES bid / ask
38¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 62¢
24h low 10¢24h high 57¢
Recent buying62% YES · 38% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢volJun 24Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask9.6693¢
  • ask8.6682¢
  • ask2080¢
  • ask20076¢
  • ask29575¢
  • ask2574¢
  • ask20048¢
spread10¢mid 43¢
  • bid20038¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla, Inc. reports above 140000 total employee headcount worldwide in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

This market refers to the annual figure reported in Tesla, Inc.'s full fiscal year or Q4 earnings release. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 23 · 10:14 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
floor
140000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANHEAD-140000
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 8 trades, 62% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
19d ago38¢20bought no
1mo ago48¢20bought yes
1mo ago48¢2.01bought yes
1mo ago46¢42bought yes
2mo ago39¢8.37bought no
2mo ago46¢8.37bought yes
2mo ago39¢42bought no
2mo ago46¢42bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.