Tesla KPI·closes in 19mo

Will Tesla Inc. report Above 1.65 million total production in 2026?

YES means Above 1.65 million

24h volume
0
2,438 lifetime
Open interest
516
Spread
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
80%

A YES contract costs 92¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
20%

costs 15¢

YES bid / ask
85¢ / 92¢
NO bid / ask
/ 15¢
Recent buying9% YES · 91% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Tesla Inc. reports Above 1650000.0 total production in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
1650000
ticker
KXTSLAA-28JANPROD-1650000.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 9% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20d ago80¢1.43bought yes
20d ago79¢15bought yes
20d ago75¢5bought no
20d ago74¢200bought no
21d ago78¢200bought no
28d ago87¢11bought yes
2mo ago81¢2bought yes
2mo ago75¢7.18bought no
2mo ago76¢5bought no
2mo ago81¢12bought yes
2mo ago75¢0.23bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.