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TT Elite Series Match·closes in 7d

Mariusz Baron wins

YES means Mariusz Baron

24h volume
4,619
7,933 lifetime
Open interest
4,997
Spread
1¢
0 × 37 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
1%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
99%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying16% YES · 84% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1638¢
  • ask2035¢
  • ask1830¢
  • ask325¢
  • ask159¢
  • ask218¢
  • ask532¢
  • ask371¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Mariusz Baron wins the Pawel Adamus vs Mariusz Baron men's professional TT Elite Series table tennis match originally scheduled for Sep 21, 2026 at 12:20 AM EDT, then the market resolves to Yes.

    If the match is postponed but begins within 48 hours of its originally scheduled start time, the market will remain open and resolve based on the official final result. If the match is cancelled or postponed more than 48 hours from its originally scheduled start, all markets will resolve to $0.50. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Sep 20 · 8:25 PM UTC
    closes
    Sep 28 · 4:20 AM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Sep 21 · 7:20 AM UTC
    ticker
    KXTTELITEMATCH-26SEP210020PADMBA-MBA
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 100¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 50 trades, 16% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    2m ago1¢83bought yes
    4m ago1¢128bought no
    4m ago1¢15bought no
    4m ago1¢2bought no
    4m ago1¢20bought no
    4m ago1¢48bought no
    4m ago1¢105bought no
    4m ago1¢1bought no
    4m ago2¢30bought no
    4m ago2¢54bought no
    4m ago2¢500bought no
    4m ago2¢109bought no
    4m ago11¢55bought no
    4m ago3¢404bought no
    4m ago3¢50bought no

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.