Who will win the next Turkish presidential election?
YES means Recep Tayyip Erdoğan
- 24h volume
- 0
- 11.7k lifetime
- Open interest
- 2,078
- −20 over 30d
- Spread
- 9¢
- 200 × 202 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 4 recent trades
A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 50¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask29198¢
- ask1,00097¢
- ask3797¢
- ask5197¢
- ask289¢
- ask30083¢
- ask169¢
- ask20259¢
- bid20050¢
- bid10046¢
- bid34544¢
- bid14930¢
- bid115¢
- bid435¢
- bid365¢
- bid144¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Recep Tayyip Erdoğan wins the next Turkish presidential election, then the market resolves to Yes.
- opened
- Apr 1, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- May 7, 2030 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- May 8, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXTURKEYPRES-28-RERD
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 88¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 4 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14d ago | 51¢ | 20 | bought no |
| 14d ago | 57¢ | 20 | bought yes |
| 14d ago | 57¢ | 0.32 | bought yes |
| 2mo ago | 58¢ | 0.33 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.