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Will ACOTAR (A Court Of Thorns and Roses) obtain a running tv series before 2030?·closes in 40mo

When will A Court Of Thorns and Roses be released?

YES means Before Jan 2030

24h volume
0
1,884 lifetime
Open interest
378
Spread
6¢
5 × 10 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
55%

A YES contract costs 62¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
45%

costs 44¢

YES bid / ask
56¢ / 62¢
NO bid / ask
38¢ / 44¢
Recent buying17% YES · 83% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask88898¢
  • ask88897¢
  • ask18291¢
  • ask20990¢
  • ask5689¢
  • ask10064¢
  • ask163¢
  • ask1062¢
spread6¢mid 59¢
  • bid556¢
  • bid10055¢
  • bid7414¢
  • bid30113¢
  • bid20512¢
  • bid8883¢
  • bid8882¢
  • bid4,5001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If it has been announced that A Court Of Thorns and Roses will release before Jan 1, 2030, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 15, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 1, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTVSEASONRELEASEACOURTOFTHORNSANDROSES-30-JAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in A Court Of Thorns and Roses: Released before 2030?.

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 17% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago55¢7.6bought no
9d ago53¢98bought no
9d ago54¢5bought no
12d ago19¢11bought no
12d ago57¢5bought no
12d ago56¢106bought no
15d ago56¢10bought no
16d ago63¢10bought yes
26d ago64¢20bought yes
1mo ago56¢5bought no
1mo ago56¢3bought no
1mo ago96¢5bought yes
1mo ago64¢5bought yes
1mo ago62¢3bought yes
2mo ago64¢3bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.