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Will “The Last of Us” Season 3 be released on HBO Max for streaming before May 1st of 2026?·closes in 6mo

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

YES means Before Apr 2027

24h volume
0
7,011 lifetime
Open interest
2,743
Spread
30¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
16%

A YES contract costs 47¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
84%

costs 83¢

YES bid / ask
17¢ / 47¢
NO bid / ask
53¢ / 83¢
Recent buying42% YES · 58% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00097¢
  • ask55096¢
  • ask5195¢
  • ask1992¢
  • ask547¢
spread30¢mid 32¢
  • bid517¢
  • bid516¢
  • bid1.5714¢
  • bid3753¢
  • bid1,0002¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Apr 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-27-APR
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 42% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
4d ago16¢0.43bought no
16d ago21¢2bought yes
18d ago20¢8.81bought yes
18d ago19¢0.81bought yes
18d ago20¢8.19bought yes
21d ago20¢1bought yes
22d ago20¢2bought yes
27d ago17¢10bought no
27d ago17¢0.91bought yes
27d ago6¢5.29bought no
27d ago6¢16bought no
27d ago6¢5.29bought no
27d ago6¢5.29bought no
27d ago6¢5.29bought no
27d ago7¢10bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.