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Will “The Last of Us” Season 3 be released on HBO Max for streaming before May 1st of 2026?·closes in 3mo

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

YES means Before Jan 2027

24h volume
0
9,040 lifetime
Open interest
3,501
Spread
4¢
5 × 5.38 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
5%

A YES contract costs 7¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
95%

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask
3¢ / 7¢
NO bid / ask
93¢ / 97¢
Recent buying1% YES · 99% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask33399¢
  • ask20795¢
  • ask29594¢
  • ask108¢
  • ask5.387¢
spread4¢mid 5¢
  • bid53¢
  • bid4782¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2027 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-27-JAN
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 1% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
10d ago5¢100bought no
10d ago7¢5bought no
10d ago6¢0.63bought no
14d ago7¢5bought no
18d ago6¢5bought yes
23d ago5¢100bought no
23d ago6¢5bought no
27d ago3¢1.12bought no
27d ago3¢1.54bought no
27d ago3¢17bought no
27d ago3¢1bought no
27d ago3¢1bought no
27d ago4¢42bought no
27d ago6¢10bought no
27d ago4¢125bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.