galdor.xyz
Admin
Will “The Last of Us” Season 3 be released on HBO Max for streaming before May 1st of 2026?·closes in 9mo

When will "The Last of Us" Season 3 be released?

YES means Before Jul 2027

24h volume
0
15.4k lifetime
Open interest
9,276
+651 over 30d
Spread
42¢
5 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask
6¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 94¢
Recent buying24% YES · 76% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4999¢
  • ask1,00097¢
  • ask55096¢
  • ask5192¢
  • ask1975¢
  • ask0.4172¢
  • ask7.749¢
  • ask548¢
spread42¢mid 27¢
  • bid56¢
  • bid575¢
  • bid5424¢
  • bid1,0003¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If it has been announced that "The Last of Us" Season 3 will release before Jul 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 17, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
closes
Jul 1, 2027 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXTVSEASONRELEASETHELASTOFUS-27-JUL
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 24% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
1d ago4¢7.94bought no
1d ago16¢0.06bought no
4d ago16¢100bought no
4d ago18¢100bought no
5d ago22¢40bought yes
6d ago18¢0.16bought no
6d ago24¢37bought yes
6d ago23¢3.17bought yes
7d ago23¢0.41bought yes
9d ago23¢8.25bought yes
10d ago23¢3.01bought yes
10d ago23¢0.16bought yes
14d ago18¢5bought no
15d ago21¢6.18bought no
15d ago22¢1.31bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.