galdor.xyz
Admin
U.S. unemployment rate at year-end·closes in 52mo

Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 be above 10.0%?

YES means Above 10.0%

24h volume
0
4,700 lifetime
Open interest
1,800
+1,800 over 30d
Spread
1¢
1,800 × 1,800 at the touch
24h range
–
9 recent trades
Chance of YES
10%

A YES contract costs 10¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
90%

costs 91¢

YES bid / ask
9¢ / 10¢
NO bid / ask
90¢ / 91¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢5¢10¢15¢20¢volSep 5Sep 13

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask36062¢
  • ask1,56757¢
  • ask5356¢
  • ask1,80010¢
spread1¢mid 9¢
  • bid1,8009¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2030 is above 10.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2030. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.

Settlement sources
opened
Sep 3 · 1:00 AM UTC
closes
Jan 10, 2031 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 17, 2031 · 1:30 PM UTC
floor
10
ticker
KXU3EOY-31JAN10-T10.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 9 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8d ago10¢200bought yes
15d ago10¢1,050bought yes
15d ago10¢200bought yes
15d ago6¢300bought yes
15d ago6¢200bought yes
15d ago6¢1,050bought yes
15d ago6¢500bought yes
15d ago6¢1,000bought yes
15d ago6¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.