Will the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 be above 3.5%?
YES means Above 3.5%
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1
- +0 over 24h
- Spread
- 99¢
- 0 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 99¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
- ask20099¢
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the seasonally adjusted U.S. unemployment rate (U-3) for December 2036 is above 3.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
“Year-end” refers exclusively to the December reference month, regardless of when the corresponding data are released. It does not refer to the annual average, the fourth-quarter average, the highest unemployment rate reported during the year, or the latest unemployment rate available as of December 31. The Expiration Value is the first non-preliminary seasonally adjusted U-3 unemployment rate reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics for December 2036. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions will not affect the outcome.
- opened
- Sep 3 · 1:00 AM UTC
- closes
- Jan 9, 2037 · 1:29 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 16, 2037 · 1:30 PM UTC
- floor
- 3.5
- ticker
- KXU3EOY-37JAN09-T3.5
Other outcomes in this event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.