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United Airlines KPI·closes in 19mo

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 178 million passengers flown in 2026?

YES means Above 178 million

24h volume
0
3,884 lifetime
Open interest
1,463
+43 over 30d
Spread
1¢
1,312 × 750 at the touch
24h range
–
11 recent trades
Chance of YES
99%

A YES contract costs 96¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
1%

costs 5¢

YES bid / ask
95¢ / 96¢
NO bid / ask
4¢ / 5¢
Recent buying76% YES · 24% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
85¢90¢95¢100¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,04899¢
  • ask11598¢
  • ask75096¢
spread1¢mid 96¢
  • bid1,31295¢
  • bid6.9194¢
  • bid575¢
  • bid1374¢
  • bid673¢
  • bid1369¢
  • bid3,11868¢
  • bid70167¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 178000000 passengers flown in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
178000000
ticker
KXUALA-28JANPAX-178000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 11 trades, 76% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
13d ago99¢5bought yes
13d ago99¢15bought yes
13d ago99¢2.57bought yes
17d ago95¢5bought no
17d ago94¢5.09bought no
17d ago99¢10bought yes
27d ago99¢25bought yes
1mo ago94¢5bought no
1mo ago95¢6bought no
1mo ago93¢1.11bought no
1mo ago99¢12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.