United Airlines KPI·closes in 19mo

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 180 million passengers flown in 2026?

YES means Above 180 million

24h volume
0
4,612 lifetime
Open interest
1,053
+0 over 24h
Spread
1,226 × 1,407 at the touch
24h range
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
94%

A YES contract costs 97¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
6%

costs

YES bid / ask
96¢ / 97¢
NO bid / ask
/
Recent buying33% YES · 67% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

85¢90¢95¢100¢volSep 20, 4:54 AMSep 21, 4:31 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00099¢
  • ask1098¢
  • ask1,40797¢
spreadmid 97¢
  • bid1,22696¢
  • bid795¢
  • bid2575¢
  • bid2370¢
  • bid2667¢
  • bid1,95266¢
  • bid40365¢
  • bid462¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 180000000 passengers flown in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
180000000
ticker
KXUALA-28JANPAX-180000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 33% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
2d ago94¢3.08bought no
15d ago65¢3.08bought no
15d ago97¢3.08bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.