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United Airlines KPI·closes in 19mo

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 184 million passengers flown in 2026?

YES means Above 184 million

24h volume
0
3,019 lifetime
Open interest
86
Spread
1¢
3 × 2,753 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
96%

A YES contract costs 93¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
4%

costs 8¢

YES bid / ask
92¢ / 93¢
NO bid / ask
7¢ / 8¢
Recent buying79% YES · 21% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask2,06999¢
  • ask24498¢
  • ask20095¢
  • ask10094¢
  • ask2,75393¢
spread1¢mid 93¢
  • bid392¢
  • bid5091¢
  • bid5090¢
  • bid65689¢
  • bid20088¢
  • bid4857¢
  • bid59456¢
  • bid13254¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 184000000 passengers flown in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
184000000
ticker
KXUALA-28JANPAX-184000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 79% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
3d ago96¢3bought yes
15d ago36¢0.1bought no
17d ago86¢23bought yes
17d ago79¢23bought no
25d ago20¢0.1bought no
27d ago90¢0.1bought yes
1mo ago82¢32bought no
1mo ago81¢103bought no
2mo ago83¢83bought yes
2mo ago81¢187bought yes
2mo ago75¢32bought yes
2mo ago75¢15bought yes
2mo ago75¢5bought yes
2mo ago76¢250bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.