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United Airlines KPI·closes in 19mo

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 188 million passengers flown in 2026?

YES means Above 188 million

24h volume
38
2,652 lifetime
Open interest
314
+20 over 24h
Spread
1¢
1,543 × 2,269 at the touch
24h range
59¢ – 64¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
59%−5

A YES contract costs 59¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
41%

costs 42¢

YES bid / ask
58¢ / 59¢
NO bid / ask
41¢ / 42¢
24h low 59¢24h high 64¢
Recent buying61% YES · 39% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
55¢60¢65¢70¢volSep 20, 8:01 AMSep 21, 5:00 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00088¢
  • ask24587¢
  • ask1,43480¢
  • ask1.2375¢
  • ask20065¢
  • ask5064¢
  • ask5062¢
  • ask2,26959¢
spread1¢mid 59¢
  • bid1,54358¢
  • bid20055¢
  • bid5430¢
  • bid16329¢
  • bid49427¢
  • bid1,14526¢
  • bid1,69625¢
  • bid21224¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 188000000 passengers flown in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
188000000
ticker
KXUALA-28JANPAX-188000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 61% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago59¢1.23bought yes
18h ago64¢18bought yes
18h ago64¢18bought yes
1d ago64¢1bought yes
1d ago64¢1.52bought yes
3d ago65¢1.54bought no
3d ago65¢118bought no
4d ago65¢1.69bought yes
6d ago65¢1.5bought yes
7d ago63¢1.54bought yes
8d ago56¢7.97bought no
9d ago61¢7.97bought yes
9d ago61¢3.19bought yes
11d ago49¢5bought yes
13d ago44¢1.23bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.