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United Airlines KPI·closes in 19mo

Will United Airlines Holdings Inc. report Above 190 million passengers flown in 2026?

YES means Above 190 million

24h volume
5.66
4,320 lifetime
Open interest
1,098
Spread
1¢
2,285 × 2,335 at the touch
24h range
–
14 recent trades
Chance of YES
27%+6

A YES contract costs 28¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
73%

costs 73¢

YES bid / ask
27¢ / 28¢
NO bid / ask
72¢ / 73¢
Recent buying82% YES · 18% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask1,00090¢
  • ask21989¢
  • ask50069¢
  • ask1,87968¢
  • ask30062¢
  • ask20030¢
  • ask50029¢
  • ask2,33528¢
spread1¢mid 28¢
  • bid2,28527¢
  • bid20024¢
  • bid506¢
  • bid1,6595¢
  • bid494¢
  • bid2,0051¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If United Airlines Holdings Inc. reports Above 190000000 passengers flown in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the underlying company. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jun 9 · 10:17 PM UTC
closes
Mar 31, 2028 · 5:00 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 31, 2028 · 9:00 PM UTC
floor
190000000
ticker
KXUALA-28JANPAX-190000000
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 14 trades, 82% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7h ago27¢5.66bought no
3d ago21¢5bought no
8d ago23¢6.27bought yes
8d ago23¢200bought yes
9d ago23¢1.93bought no
9d ago22¢200bought no
9d ago23¢3.07bought no
9d ago31¢3.07bought yes
13d ago16¢5bought no
16d ago23¢200bought yes
20d ago17¢200bought yes
29d ago16¢200bought yes
1mo ago15¢5bought yes
1mo ago16¢200bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.