Will UC reinstate its SAT and ACT admissions requirement·closes in 16mo

Will it be reported by any of the Source Agencies that a systemwide University of California policy reinstating a requirement that first-year undergraduate applicants submit SAT or ACT scores for admission is formally adopted before Jan 1, 2028?

YES means Yes

24h volume
0
2,050 lifetime
Open interest
1,007
+3.16 over 30d
Spread
5 × 6.74 at the touch
24h range
68¢ – 77¢
Chance of YES
75%

A YES contract costs 76¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
25%

costs 30¢

YES bid / ask
70¢ / 76¢
NO bid / ask
24¢ / 30¢
24h low 68¢24h high 77¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

25¢50¢75¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1,59798¢
  • ask20295¢
  • ask50077¢
  • ask6.7476¢
spreadmid 73¢
  • bid570¢
  • bid50069¢
  • bid20133¢
  • bid73632¢
  • bid32430¢
  • bid77129¢
  • bid3926¢
  • bid3.6525¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If a systemwide University of California policy reinstating a requirement that first-year undergraduate applicants submit SAT or ACT scores for admission is formally adopted after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

Only reporting from any of the Source Agencies qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity.

opened
Jul 21 · 7:10 PM UTC
closes
Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUCSAT-28
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

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Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.