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UEFA European Championship·closes in 23mo

Will Germany win the 2028 UEFA Euros?

YES means Germany

24h volume
0
1,524 lifetime
Open interest
1,513
+0 over 7d
Spread
1¢
111 × 953 at the touch
24h range
–
17 recent trades
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 11¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 90¢

YES bid / ask
10¢ / 11¢
NO bid / ask
89¢ / 90¢
Recent buying34% YES · 66% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask16.1k35¢
  • ask2,10733¢
  • ask5832¢
  • ask9026¢
  • ask15019¢
  • ask1,10013¢
  • ask99612¢
  • ask95311¢
spread1¢mid 11¢
  • bid11110¢
  • bid1,0009¢
  • bid5007¢
  • bid1406¢
  • bid15.0k5¢
  • bid133¢
  • bid24.3k2¢
  • bid335.1k1¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Germany is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 14 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Aug 15, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUEFAEURO-28-GER
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 17 trades, 34% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
5d ago11¢1.1bought yes
5d ago10¢1.1bought no
9d ago11¢86bought yes
1mo ago11¢4bought no
1mo ago11¢62bought no
1mo ago11¢245bought no
1mo ago11¢4.43bought no
1mo ago11¢689bought no
2mo ago13¢200bought yes
2mo ago11¢5.57bought no
2mo ago14¢100bought yes
2mo ago15¢16bought yes
2mo ago14¢5bought yes
2mo ago14¢10bought yes
2mo ago14¢1bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.