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UEFA European Championship·closes in 23mo

Will Poland win the 2028 UEFA Euros?

YES means Poland

24h volume
0
1,524 lifetime
Open interest
1,337
Spread
1¢
0 × 519 at the touch
24h range
–
15 recent trades
Chance of YES
2%

A YES contract costs 1¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
98%

costs 100¢

YES bid / ask
0¢ / 1¢
NO bid / ask
99¢ / 100¢
Recent buying32% YES · 68% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5223¢
  • ask1,13322¢
  • ask30019¢
  • ask15618¢
  • ask9016¢
  • ask15015¢
  • ask6.422¢
  • ask5191¢
spread–mid –
    Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

    How this market resolves

    Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

    If Poland is the 2028 UEFA European Championship champion, then the market resolves to Yes.

    Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Governing League. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.

    Settlement sources
    opened
    Jul 14 · 6:00 PM UTC
    closes
    Aug 15, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
    settles by
    Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
    ticker
    KXUEFAEURO-28-POL
    Trade it on kalshi.com

    Other outcomes in this event

    Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 111¢).

    Recent trades

    Over the last 15 trades, 32% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

    WhenYESContractsSide
    29d ago2¢94bought yes
    1mo ago1¢4bought no
    1mo ago1¢134bought no
    1mo ago1¢4.98bought no
    1mo ago1¢100bought no
    1mo ago1¢6.26bought no
    1mo ago1¢693bought no
    1mo ago1¢6.24bought yes
    1mo ago1¢100bought yes
    1mo ago1¢100bought yes
    1mo ago1¢1bought yes
    2mo ago1¢94bought yes
    2mo ago4¢94bought no
    2mo ago5¢94bought yes
    2mo ago19¢0.04bought yes

    Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.