KXUEFAEUROQUAL·closes in 23mo

Will Spain qualify for the 2028 UEFA Euros?

YES means Spain

24h volume: 0; 156 lifetime
Open interest: 78; +78 over 90d
Spread: 95¢; 5 × 72 at the touch
24h range: 94¢ – 98¢; 2 recent trades

Chance of YES

98%

A YES contract costs 98¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

costs 97¢

YES bid / ask

3¢ / 98¢

NO bid / ask

2¢ / 97¢

24h low 94¢24h high 98¢

Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Spain qualifies for the 2028 UEFA Euros, then the market resolves to Yes.

Important information: This market resolves Yes if Spain officially qualifies for the 2028 UEFA Euros under the qualification format in effect for that tournament. Any change to the tournament format, including an expansion or reduction in the number of participating teams, will not affect resolution; this market will resolve solely based on whether Spain qualifies for the main tournament. Advancing to a later stage of qualification without securing a place in the main tournament does not count. The market will resolve based on official confirmation from UEFA.

opened: Jul 30 · 7:15 PM UTC
closes: Aug 15, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Aug 1, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXUEFAEUROQUAL-28-ESP

Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
4d ago	98¢	78	bought yes
22d ago	94¢	78	bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.