UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Ciryl Gane to be Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Ciryl Gane

24h volume: 18; 435 lifetime
Open interest: 435; +435 over 30d
Spread: 38¢; 111 × 5 at the touch
24h range: 37¢ – 37¢; 5 recent trades

Chance of YES

37%+2

A YES contract costs 68¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

63%

costs 70¢

YES bid / ask

30¢ / 68¢

NO bid / ask

32¢ / 70¢

24h low 37¢24h high 37¢

Recent buying45% YES · 55% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask3397¢
ask31290¢
ask22270¢
ask568¢

spread38¢mid 49¢

bid11130¢
bid11125¢
bid11120¢
bid10015¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ciryl Gane is the UFC Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXUFCTITLE-HW27-CGAN

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 140¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 5 trades, 45% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
12h ago	37¢	18	bought no
1d ago	38¢	111	bought no
1d ago	35¢	111	bought no
7d ago	50¢	1.93	bought yes
7d ago	50¢	193	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.