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UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Carlos Ulberg to be Light Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Carlos Ulberg

24h volume
0
136 lifetime
Open interest
136
Spread
47¢
100 × 5 at the touch
24h range
–
3 recent trades
Chance of YES
22%

A YES contract costs 48¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
78%

costs 99¢

YES bid / ask
1¢ / 48¢
NO bid / ask
52¢ / 99¢
Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask10099¢
  • ask3397¢
  • ask5,00092¢
  • ask2291¢
  • ask5,00067¢
  • ask42049¢
  • ask548¢
spread47¢mid 25¢
  • bid1001¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Carlos Ulberg is the UFC Light Heavyweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUFCTITLE-LHW27-CULB
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Recent trades

Over the last 3 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
7d ago22¢43bought yes
7d ago22¢84bought yes
17d ago22¢8.62bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.