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UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Arman Tsarukyan to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Arman Tsarukyan

24h volume
81
2,919 lifetime
Open interest
2,358
+2,358 over 90d
Spread
2¢
2.09 × 5.99 at the touch
24h range
30¢ – 38¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
34%−15

A YES contract costs 37¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
66%

costs 65¢

YES bid / ask
35¢ / 37¢
NO bid / ask
63¢ / 65¢
24h low 30¢24h high 38¢
Recent buying84% YES · 16% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
0¢25¢50¢75¢volAug 29Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask32471¢
  • ask1,58070¢
  • ask469¢
  • ask88844¢
  • ask77740¢
  • ask14839¢
  • ask3238¢
  • ask5.9937¢
spread2¢mid 36¢
  • bid2.0935¢
  • bid2534¢
  • bid1431¢
  • bid5130¢
  • bid2913¢
  • bid7312¢
  • bid3911¢
  • bid11410¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Arman Tsarukyan is the UFC Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUFCTITLE-LW27-ATSA
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 68¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 84% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
6h ago34¢0.34bought no
8h ago38¢7.21bought yes
16h ago35¢14bought yes
16h ago30¢1.44bought no
19h ago30¢2.89bought no
19h ago35¢55bought no
1d ago49¢20bought yes
1d ago24¢10bought no
1d ago23¢70bought no
1d ago23¢2bought no
1d ago22¢74bought no
1d ago69¢1bought no
1d ago50¢3.91bought no
1d ago69¢24bought no
1d ago69¢20bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.