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UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Ilia Topuria to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Ilia Topuria

24h volume
0
53 lifetime
Open interest
40
+0 over 24h
Spread
22¢
100 × 1,255 at the touch
24h range
–
Chance of YES
11%

A YES contract costs 43¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
89%

costs 79¢

YES bid / ask
21¢ / 43¢
NO bid / ask
57¢ / 79¢
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
10¢20¢30¢40¢50¢volSep 21, 12:19 AMSep 21, 5:41 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask3397¢
  • ask5,00080¢
  • ask1,12375¢
  • ask544¢
  • ask1,25543¢
spread22¢mid 32¢
  • bid10021¢
  • bid55518¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Ilia Topuria is the UFC Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUFCTITLE-LW27-ITOP
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in its event.

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.