UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Justin Gaethje to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Justin Gaethje

24h volume: 59; 219 lifetime
Open interest: 217; +217 over 30d
Spread: 9¢; 5 × 5 at the touch
24h range: 16¢ – 16¢; 6 recent trades

Chance of YES

16%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

84%

costs 94¢

YES bid / ask

6¢ / 15¢

NO bid / ask

85¢ / 94¢

24h low 16¢24h high 16¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask3397¢
ask4,63291¢
ask71816¢
ask515¢

spread9¢mid 11¢

bid56¢
bid1005¢
bid8884¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Justin Gaethje is the UFC Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

Settlement sources

opened: Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes: Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by: Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXUFCTITLE-LW27-JGAE

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 68¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 6 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
14h ago	16¢	59	bought yes
1d ago	16¢	148	bought yes
7d ago	1¢	0.84	bought no
10d ago	17¢	5	bought yes
11d ago	18¢	5.25	bought yes
21d ago	56¢	0.84	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.