UFC Title Holder·closes in 16mo

Paddy Pimblett to be Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027

YES means Paddy Pimblett

24h volume
197
1,251 lifetime
Open interest
762
+94 over 24h
Spread
6.51 × 27 at the touch
24h range
4¢ – 10¢
50 recent trades
Chance of YES
4%66

A YES contract costs and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
96%

costs 96¢

YES bid / ask
/
NO bid / ask
91¢ / 96¢
24h low 24h high 10¢
Recent buying69% YES · 31% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢5¢10¢15¢volSep 20, 1:06 PMSep 21, 4:05 AM

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask4799¢
  • ask3397¢
  • ask2288¢
  • ask1775¢
  • ask11060¢
  • ask1,30556¢
  • ask1,00810¢
  • ask27
spreadmid
  • bid6.51
  • bid555
  • bid120
  • bid14.0k
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Paddy Pimblett is the UFC Lightweight Title holder on Dec 31, 2027 at 12:00 PM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Interim title holders do not count towards this market. If the title is vacant all markets will resolve to NO. This market and these products have not been endorsed by Zuffa LLC, d/b/a Ultimate Fighting Championship, UFC. Any references to the “UFC,” or any other associated marks are descriptive only, and do not indicate an endorsement of this product or any affiliation between Zuffa and Kalshi.

opened
Aug 26 · 8:00 PM UTC
closes
Dec 31, 2027 · 7:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Dec 31, 2027 · 5:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUFCTITLE-LW27-PPIM
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 68¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 50 trades, 69% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
9h ago93bought no
9h ago0.58bought no
10h ago10¢94bought yes
19h ago10¢8.46bought yes
1d ago1bought yes
1d ago1bought yes
1d ago1bought yes
1d ago1bought yes
1d ago1bought yes
1d ago1bought yes
1d ago10¢0.99bought yes
1d ago11¢0.01bought yes
1d ago70¢0.58bought yes
1d ago12¢0.01bought yes
2d ago0.12bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.