Will Alex Norris be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
YES means Alex Norris
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2,405 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,001
- +0 over 7d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 0 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
- 10 recent trades
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Alex Norris is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count. If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied member markets settle according to the Contract's split-settlement provisions. If no eligible member leaves during the specified period, all member markets resolve to No. A temporary absence or leave where the member is expected to resume their Cabinet position does not count. Speculative or unconfirmed reports of a departure do not count. If the Prime Minister leaves office or the Cabinet is otherwise dissolved or wholly reconstituted before an individual member satisfies the Payout Criterion, all listed individual-member markets resolve to No.
- opened
- Aug 19 · 5:42 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-ANOR
Other outcomes in this event
Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 95¢).
Recent trades
Over the last 10 trades, 15% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8d ago | 2¢ | 52 | bought no |
| 9d ago | 8¢ | 53 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 4¢ | 100 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 4¢ | 200 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 1¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 200 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 100 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 2¢ | 500 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 800 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 4¢ | 200 | bought no |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.