Will Pat McFadden be the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet?
YES means Pat McFadden
- 24h volume
- 0
- 2,200 lifetime
- Open interest
- 1,000
- +0 over 30d
- Spread
- 8¢
- 0 × 200 at the touch
- 24h range
- –
A YES contract costs 8¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 100¢
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Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
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How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If Pat McFadden is the next to leave the Burnham Cabinet before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
A member leaves the Cabinet upon the qualifying announcement of their resignation, dismissal, removal, non-reappointment, or other formal cessation of Cabinet membership. A change of portfolio or position within the Cabinet alone does not count. If two or more members leave on the same calendar date and the Source Agencies do not establish a clear chronological order, the tied member markets settle according to the Contract's split-settlement provisions. If no eligible member leaves during the specified period, all member markets resolve to No. A temporary absence or leave where the member is expected to resume their Cabinet position does not count. Speculative or unconfirmed reports of a departure do not count. If the Prime Minister leaves office or the Cabinet is otherwise dissolved or wholly reconstituted before an individual member satisfies the Payout Criterion, all listed individual-member markets resolve to No.
- opened
- Aug 19 · 5:42 PM UTC
- closes
- Jan 1, 2028 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Jan 8, 2028 · 3:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXUKCABOUT-BURNN28JAN01-PMCF
This event
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Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.