UK digital services tax cut or repeal·closes in 19mo

Will the UK agree to or announce a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028?

YES means Before Apr 6, 2028

24h volume
0
4 lifetime
Open interest
2
+2 over 90d
Spread
5 × 200 at the touch
24h range
2 recent trades
Chance of YES
51%

A YES contract costs 44¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
49%

costs 64¢

YES bid / ask
36¢ / 44¢
NO bid / ask
56¢ / 64¢
Recent buying50% YES · 50% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢volSep 1Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask5099¢
  • ask1183¢
  • ask35082¢
  • ask20081¢
  • ask20044¢
spreadmid 40¢
  • bid536¢
  • bid20035¢
  • bid20010¢
  • bid643
  • bid50
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the UK agrees to or announces a cut or repeal of its digital services tax before Apr 6, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

A market resolves to Yes on a UK government announcement that abolishes the digital services tax, reduces its rate, raises either of its revenue thresholds, suspends it, or exempts companies from its scope. There is no minimum size and the measure need not be legislated or in force before the strike date. A rate increase, or a change that only broadens the tax, does not resolve any market. An announcement qualifies if it involves any of the following: Formal commitment by the head of government with constitutional authority Official statements by authorized ministers Official press releases Formal declarations during government proceedings Announcements with a specified future implementation date Phased implementation announcements, and multi-party agreements to which the UK is a signatory, also qualify. The following do NOT qualify: Preliminary discussions Conditional agreements contingent on circumstances Opposition party statements Leaked documents or unofficial reports not confirmed by government sources Think-tank recommendations General aspirations without specific commitment Draft legislation without approval or adoption Regional or sub-national actions Retraction of previously announced commitments

Settlement sources
opened
Aug 20 · 6:00 PM UTC
closes
Apr 6, 2028 · 3:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Apr 13, 2028 · 2:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUKDST-28APR06-28APR06
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 2 trades, 50% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
20d ago51¢2bought no
20d ago24¢2bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.