Year of the next UK general election·closes in 40mo

Will it be confirmed that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred?

YES means 2027

24h volume: 0; 200 lifetime
Open interest: 200; +200 over 30d
Spread: 8¢; 200 × 400 at the touch
24h range: –; 1 recent trades

Chance of YES

21%

A YES contract costs 22¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

79%

costs 86¢

YES bid / ask

14¢ / 22¢

NO bid / ask

78¢ / 86¢

Recent buying100% YES · 0% NO

What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.

2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.

3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h 7d 30d 90d

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes

ask10099¢
ask1,76679¢
ask25278¢
ask20062¢
ask20023¢
ask40022¢

spread8¢mid 18¢

bid20014¢
bid20012¢
bid5762¢
bid1001¢

Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If, after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2030, the claim that 2027 was the calendar year in which the official polling day for the next UK general election occurred has been reported as confirmed, verified, or established as factual by at least one Source Agency, then the market resolves to Yes.

Each market's year is determined by the official polling day that actually occurs, not an announced or scheduled date that is later changed. If the official polling day for the next UK general election occurs in a year not listed, every market resolves NO.

Settlement sources

opened: Sep 1 · 2:00 AM UTC
closes: Jan 1, 2030 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by: Jan 8, 2030 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker: KXUKGEYEAR-30JAN01-27

Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Mutually exclusive: YES prices should add to about $1.00 (they add to 24¢).

Recent trades

Over the last 1 trades, 100% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

When	YES	Contracts	Side
7d ago	21¢	200	bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.