Will Green win the next U.K. election?
YES means Green party
- 24h volume
- 10
- 20.5k lifetime
- Open interest
- 11.1k
- Spread
- 3¢
- 52 × 583 at the touch
- 24h range
- 3¢ – 3¢
- 25 recent trades
A YES contract costs 4¢ and pays $1 if it happens.
costs 99¢
An independent read of this market
Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.
Price history
YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.
Order book
Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.
Order book unavailable.
How this market resolves
Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.
If the Green party receives the most seats in the next UK general election, then the market resolves to Yes.
If two parties tie in seat count, then the party with the highest percentage of the vote will resolve to Yes and the others will resolve to No.
- opened
- Oct 5, 2025 · 2:00 PM UTC
- closes
- Aug 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC · may close early
- settles by
- Aug 31, 2029 · 2:00 PM UTC
- ticker
- KXUKPARTY-29-GRE
This event
Outcomes in this event settle independently.
This is the only market in its event.
Recent trades
Over the last 25 trades, 73% of contracts were bought on the YES side.
| When | YES | Contracts | Side |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3h ago | 3¢ | 10 | bought no |
| 1d ago | 3¢ | 10 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 3¢ | 5 | bought yes |
| 1d ago | 3¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 4¢ | 223 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 4¢ | 17 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 4¢ | 83 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 4¢ | 221 | bought yes |
| 7d ago | 4¢ | 1 | bought yes |
| 11d ago | 0¢ | 59 | bought no |
| 25d ago | 3¢ | 16 | bought yes |
| 27d ago | 0¢ | 120 | bought no |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 3 | bought yes |
| 1mo ago | 3¢ | 25 | bought yes |
Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.