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Kim Jong-Un presidential visit·closes in 28mo

Will Kim Jong-Un visit the United States during Trump's term?

YES means During Trump's term

24h volume
1.12
14.0k lifetime
Open interest
3,750
−45 over 30d
Spread
3¢
136 × 6.57 at the touch
24h range
12¢ – 12¢
46 recent trades
Chance of YES
12%

A YES contract costs 15¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
88%

costs 88¢

YES bid / ask
12¢ / 15¢
NO bid / ask
85¢ / 88¢
24h low 12¢24h high 12¢
Recent buying13% YES · 87% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
5¢10¢15¢20¢25¢volAug 22Sep 21

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Yes ask (no bid)SizeYes
  • ask48165¢
  • ask159¢
  • ask32858¢
  • ask14657¢
  • ask27854¢
  • ask2951¢
  • ask20018¢
  • ask6.5715¢
spread3¢mid 14¢
  • bid13612¢
  • bid23311¢
  • bid10010¢
  • bid229¢
  • bid258¢
  • bid1227¢
  • bid4.766¢
  • bid415¢
Yes bid (no ask)SizeYes

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If Kim Jong-Un visits the United States before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.

Settlement sources
opened
Dec 18, 2024 · 3:00 PM UTC
closes
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC · may close early
settles by
Jan 20, 2029 · 3:00 PM UTC
ticker
KXUSAKIM-29
Trade it on kalshi.com

This event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

This is the only market in Will Kim Jong-Un visit the US during Trump's term?.

Recent trades

Over the last 46 trades, 13% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
8h ago12¢1.12bought no
1d ago12¢9bought no
4d ago12¢2bought no
5d ago12¢5bought no
7d ago13¢5bought no
7d ago12¢29bought no
7d ago13¢1.57bought no
22d ago15¢1.57bought yes
1mo ago15¢40bought yes
1mo ago15¢23bought yes
1mo ago16¢4.59bought yes
1mo ago17¢22bought yes
1mo ago16¢1.11bought yes
1mo ago11¢1.11bought no
1mo ago16¢0.41bought yes

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.