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U.S. headline inflation at year end·closes in 29mo

Will the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U in December 2028 be above 1.0%?

YES means Above 1.0%

24h volume
0
2,900 lifetime
Open interest
486
Spread
43¢
32 × 101 at the touch
24h range
–
32 recent trades
Chance of YES
61%

A YES contract costs 61¢ and pays $1 if it happens.

NO
39%

costs 82¢

YES bid / ask
18¢ / 61¢
NO bid / ask
39¢ / 82¢
Recent buying72% YES · 28% NO
What Galdor thinks

An independent read of this market

1Reads the rules literallySettlement source, close time, and the edge cases that flip an outcome.
2Checks the tape and the webOrder book, flow, price history, then targeted searches with sources.
3Gives a straight answerA probability with a band, and one of four calls: YES, NO, wait, or stay out.

Generated by an AI analyst from live exchange data and public web sources. Research and analytics, not investment advice. Markets can move after this was written.

Price history

YES price per candle with the bid/ask band, volume underneath. Times in UTC.

24h7d30d90d
Not enough history to chart.

Order book

Resting orders, both sides shown as YES prices. Bars are size.

Order book unavailable.

How this market resolves

Verbatim from Kalshi. Read this before the price.

If the 12-month percentage change in CPI-U, U.S. city average, all items, not seasonally adjusted, in December 2028 is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.

The initially reported value for December 2028 will be used. This market concerns the 12-month percentage change for December 2028, not the annual-average percentage change for the specified year.

Settlement sources
opened
Jul 29 · 11:00 PM UTC
closes
Feb 1, 2029 · 4:59 AM UTC · may close early
settles by
Feb 8, 2029 · 6:30 AM UTC
floor
1
ticker
KXUSCPIYEAR-29FEB01-T1.0
Trade it on kalshi.com

Other outcomes in this event

Outcomes in this event settle independently.

Recent trades

Over the last 32 trades, 72% of contracts were bought on the YES side.

WhenYESContractsSide
18d ago61¢1.15bought no
1mo ago59¢100bought no
1mo ago59¢164bought no
2mo ago62¢10bought no
2mo ago62¢15bought no
2mo ago62¢100bought no
2mo ago62¢5bought no
2mo ago70¢5bought no
2mo ago74¢5bought yes
2mo ago76¢424bought yes
2mo ago75¢71bought yes
2mo ago62¢200bought yes
2mo ago62¢5bought no
2mo ago75¢100bought no
2mo ago75¢300bought no

Prices are YES cost in cents and approximate the market’s implied probability. Data is read live from the Kalshi Trade API on every page load. galdor.xyz places no orders and holds no positions. Research and analytics, not investment advice.